TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. Outcomes depend on the point differential achieved in the fourth quarter, without considering the overall game score or overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins that quarter by more than the designated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, taking into account all known facts and circumstances at that time. The markets are independent of the overall game outcome and consider only fourth-quarter performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market incorporates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Missouri will cover a certain spread, they will buy contracts representing that spread, driving up the price. Conversely, if they believe Mississippi State will cover, they’ll sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 4th quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The market's resolution is determined by the actual game results, not by any subjective assessment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries on either the Missouri or Mississippi State teams would be a major catalyst, as would any significant changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Late-breaking reports about player availability or strategic adjustments are likely to cause price fluctuations. Even public perception, reflected in media coverage and social media trends, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.