TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the third quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi St. college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from over 2.5 to over 27.5 points) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the third quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final score in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side, effectively making a prediction and taking a position based on their analysis. The market dynamically adjusts as more traders participate and new information becomes available, leading to a constantly updated assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market and the resulting payouts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either the Missouri or Mississippi State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching strategies might also cause movement. Finally, any late-breaking information about the game, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, could lead to price fluctuations as traders react to the new data.