TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Missouri and Mississippi State. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the second quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
If Mississippi St. wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant difference exists between the two, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to or place greater weight on information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current market reflects the aggregated views of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Trading will cease prior to resolution, and contracts will be settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game will likely have a significant impact, as will any in-game momentum swings. Public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Kalshi. Any late-breaking information related to team preparedness or key player availability could cause considerable movement.