TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Missouri and Mississippi State during the second quarter of their college football game. It focuses solely on the scoring differential within that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Missouri and Mississippi State exclusively during the second quarter of play. For any market where Mississippi State wins the quarter by the specified margin or greater, that market resolves to Yes; conversely, if Missouri wins the quarter by the required margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value in either the prediction market or sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each possible outcome, offering a dynamic view of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Successful contracts will be those predicting a spread that matches the actual result, as determined by official game statistics. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri or Mississippi State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect how traders assess the likely outcome of the second quarter and, consequently, the spread. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.