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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 26, 8:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Missouri and Mississippi State. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the early game stages, focusing solely on the scoring during the initial 15 minutes of play.
The market resolves based on which team is leading at the end of the first quarter of the Missouri vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Mississippi State scores more points in the first quarter than Missouri, the "Mississippi St. wins 1st Quarter" market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Missouri scores more points than Mississippi State in the first quarter, the "Missouri wins 1st Quarter" market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first quarter, the "Tie 1st Quarter" market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular team. Examining these differences can offer insights into where value might exist for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and adjust its predictions in real-time, offering a unique perspective on the likely winner of the first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first quarter winner of the Missouri vs Mississippi State game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game results and any necessary adjustments made to account for unforeseen circumstances, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Missouri or Mississippi State would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect playing conditions, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis or expert opinions released by sports analysts could sway the market, as could early betting trends in traditional sportsbooks. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential price movements.