TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Missouri and Mississippi State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the combined points exceeding specific benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Missouri vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market, if the combined first-half points exceed the specified threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each market applies a unique numerical threshold ranging from 2.5 to 47.5 points. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, potentially reflecting information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st half total in the Missouri vs Mississippi State game. The price of a 'Yes' contract indicates the probability of the total being over the line, while the price of a 'No' contract reflects the probability of it being under. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own insights. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 1st half total from the Missouri vs Mississippi State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as recorded by the governing sports authority. The market will determine whether the 1st half total was over or under the line established when the market was created, and payouts will be issued accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Mississippi State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or unexpected betting patterns could shift trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. As the game approaches, even the pre-game warm-up reports could introduce volatility.