TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:05 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether Missouri or Kansas will secure a decisive lead in the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each outcome is determined solely by the point differential in the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively from the fourth quarter of the Missouri vs Kansas college football game scheduled for September 11, 2026, with no consideration given to overtime scores. If Missouri wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding Missouri markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Kansas achieves a fourth-quarter victory by more than the designated margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the relevant Kansas markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing adjustments.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react in real-time to news and analysis regarding the Missouri-Kansas matchup. It’s common to find discrepancies, especially before a significant event or breaking news impacts perceptions of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the Missouri-Kansas football spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Missouri versus Kansas football game, specifically the point difference between the two teams’ final scores. The platform will verify this information against trusted sources to determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will know the outcome shortly after the game concludes, allowing for a swift and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Kansas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to fluctuations in the Missouri-Kansas football spread.