TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead at the end of the second quarter in an upcoming college football game. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game in its early stages, offering insight into momentum shifts before halftime. The outcome depends solely on performance during that specific quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second quarter of the designated Missouri vs Kansas college football game. If Kansas scores more points during that quarter, the 'Kansas wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Missouri scores more points, the 'Missouri wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the second quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches, and can present opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Missouri or Kansas winning the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Missouri will win, the price of Missouri contracts will increase.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Missouri versus Kansas game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Missouri or Kansas would likely have a significant impact. Any changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Even public perception, influenced by expert analyses or social media discussions, can contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other.