TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:48 PM EST
Kalshi
The Missouri vs Kansas college football game will feature markets on the total points scored in the first half, with various thresholds for the combined score.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Points from overtime or any period beyond the first half are not counted.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets each have their own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting event outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Missouri-Kansas first half total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to buy a contract representing a specific first half total.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total for the Missouri versus Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score as recorded by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct first half total will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will receive nothing. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri or Kansas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift traders’ expectations. Finally, even public sentiment and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks can indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi.