TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Volume:
$1,011,803
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different lines (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under totals at three different thresholds (152.5, 153.5, and 155.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Missouri win and Oklahoma win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes or produce a No resolution. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not rely on Kalshi's moneyline market for settlement. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals are all logically consistent and should be used as the authoritative source. Verify the final box score from NCAA.com including overtime periods, then apply Polymarket's resolution logic: moneyline winner takes all; spreads resolve by point differential; totals resolve by combined score threshold.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Oklahoma wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical tautology with no distinguishing outcome. Quote: 'If Missouri wins the Missouri at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins the Missouri at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' if Missouri wins or 'Oklahoma Sooners' if Oklahoma wins; spreads resolve based on point margin; totals resolve based on combined score. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Missouri Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Missouri Tigers". If the Oklahoma Sooners win, the market will resolve to "Oklahoma Sooners".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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