TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

61%

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Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners
kalshi
polymarket

Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Volume:
$1,011,803

Oklahoma

 - Kalshi

Oklahoma - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$522,073
N/A
N/A
$341,249
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393,592
N/A
N/A
$292,820
Settled
No
polymarket

Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 153.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different lines (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under totals at three different thresholds (152.5, 153.5, and 155.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Missouri win and Oklahoma win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes or produce a No resolution. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not rely on Kalshi's moneyline market for settlement. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals are all logically consistent and should be used as the authoritative source. Verify the final box score from NCAA.com including overtime periods, then apply Polymarket's resolution logic: moneyline winner takes all; spreads resolve by point differential; totals resolve by combined score threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Oklahoma wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical tautology with no distinguishing outcome. Quote: 'If Missouri wins the Missouri at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins the Missouri at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' if Missouri wins or 'Oklahoma Sooners' if Oklahoma wins; spreads resolve based on point margin; totals resolve based on combined score. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Missouri Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Missouri Tigers". If the Oklahoma Sooners win, the market will resolve to "Oklahoma Sooners".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.