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480,371

Markets across

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2,915

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Missouri State vs. SMU
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Missouri State vs. SMU?

Volume:
$6,179,649

SMU

 - Kalshi

SMU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,516,732
N/A
N/A
$1,010,522
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 42.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri State O/U 18.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Spread -13.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri State O/U 6.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri State O/U 9.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
14¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri St.

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,468,004
N/A
N/A
$2,544,659
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -30.5

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -31.5

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri State vs. SMU

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -33.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 62.5

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -35.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 60.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -51.5

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -38.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -34.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -20.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 217

Intro

This market tracks whether a pick-six—an interception returned for a touchdown—will be scored in the college football game between Missouri State and SMU. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as any interception returned for a touchdown will immediately resolve this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's 'game winner' market resolves if *either* team wins, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: The Kalshi market is essentially a 'game happens' market, offering a payout if the game is completed. Polymarket's markets require correctly predicting the winner. Focus on the spread markets for more traditional football betting logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if SMU wins OR Missouri State wins the game. Effectively a 'game happens' market.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Missouri State' if Missouri State wins, and 'SMU' if SMU wins. A standard winner-take-all market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and SMU, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Missouri State versus SMU college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If SMU wins the game, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Missouri State’s market resolves to No. Conversely, if Missouri State wins, its market resolves to Yes, and SMU’s market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final, official result. However, if the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific contingency conditions.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Missouri State vs. SMU game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $6,179,649, with $5,890,570 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, as reflected by the combined probabilities, indicates a strong expectation for one outcome. However, it’s important to note that individual platforms may have differing opinions, creating opportunities for informed traders. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment surrounding the game’s result.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by user predictions and volume. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. Both sources provide valuable information, but understanding the underlying mechanisms driving each set of odds is crucial for making informed decisions.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri State or SMU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to team strategies or coaching decisions might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate informed action and trigger further price adjustments.