TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Missouri State Bears and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive game outcomes (Missouri State win and Western Kentucky win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as currently described cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be preferred for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. Resolves to Missouri State Bears if Missouri State wins, or Western Kentucky Hilltoppers if Western Kentucky wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation triggers 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Yes/No market with critical logical error. Both possible game outcomes (Missouri State win AND Western Kentucky win) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution scenario. No specification for postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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