TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

Volume:
$4,495

Missouri St.

 - Kalshi

Missouri St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Missouri St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,651
N/A
N/A
$1,891
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Western Kentucky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,620
N/A
N/A
$1,099
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Missouri State Bears and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive game outcomes (Missouri State win and Western Kentucky win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is logically consistent.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as currently described cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be preferred for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. Resolves to Missouri State Bears if Missouri State wins, or Western Kentucky Hilltoppers if Western Kentucky wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation triggers 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market with critical logical error. Both possible game outcomes (Missouri State win AND Western Kentucky win) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution scenario. No specification for postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.