TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will win the fourth quarter of a college football game between Missouri State and Texas A&M. It tracks performance specifically in the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team scores more points in that designated timeframe.
The market resolves based on which team wins the fourth quarter of the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, excluding overtime. If Texas A&M scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Texas A&M wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Missouri St. scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Missouri St. wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market's pricing is driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The current price reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in market sentiment. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning at the end of the 4th quarter of the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M game. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri St. or Texas A&M teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities and drive price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, may also play a role.