TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Missouri State and Texas A&M. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether one team will outscore the other by a margin exceeding that threshold during that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For Texas A&M markets, resolution occurs if their point differential over Missouri St. exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points). For Missouri St. markets, resolution occurs if their point differential over Texas A&M exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd sees value, or potential mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand – if more people want to buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price will increase, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual 2nd quarter spread of the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The final score differential at the end of the 2nd quarter will be compared to the various spread options offered in this market. All results will be verified against official game statistics and widely available sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri St. or Texas A&M teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also drive price fluctuations. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or internal issues could lead to shifts in the perceived probability of different spread outcomes.