TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for Texas A&M or Missouri St. in the second half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (excluding overtime) of the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For Texas A&M markets, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified margin (e.g., over 34.5 points). For Missouri St. markets, resolution occurs if they win the second half by more than the specified margin (e.g., over 2.5 points). All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second half, disregarding any points from the first half or overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis not fully captured by sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd half spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the spread will be positive, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated sentiment of the market participants regarding the likely outcome of the game's second half.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Missouri St. vs Texas A&M game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final spread.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri St. or Texas A&M teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.