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Missouri St. vs SMU: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Missouri St. vs SMU?

Volume:
$1,864,182

SMU wins by over 7.5 points

 - Kalshi

SMU wins by over 7.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$122,349
N/A
N/A
$58,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,049
N/A
N/A
$15,162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,055
N/A
N/A
$1,875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 33.5 points

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$209,891
N/A
N/A
$149,790
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 30.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207,941
N/A
N/A
$142,519
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206,279
N/A
N/A
$116,459
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,533
N/A
N/A
$88,906
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166,793
N/A
N/A
$57,803
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142,957
N/A
N/A
$65,520
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 34.5 points

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,824
N/A
N/A
$121,123
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,413
N/A
N/A
$56,099
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,101
N/A
N/A
$34,631
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,466
N/A
N/A
$44,718
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,931
N/A
N/A
$25,360
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,488
N/A
N/A
$25,612
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,788
N/A
N/A
$18,101
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 35.5 points

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,584
N/A
N/A
$20,349
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 51.5 points

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,747
N/A
N/A
$16,304
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 38.5 points

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,911
N/A
N/A
$9,074
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 48.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,586
N/A
N/A
$5,340
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 54.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,345
N/A
N/A
$4,345
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 45.5 points

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,001
N/A
N/A
$3,966
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins by over 41.5 points

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,731
N/A
N/A
$2,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,420
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks whether Southern Methodist University (SMU) will win their college football game against Missouri State by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to SMU winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Missouri St. vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on September 26, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Missouri St. vs SMU college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market, if SMU's victory margin surpasses the specified threshold, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial treatment regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Missouri St. vs SMU spread tracks the current price of the market, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either side. It also displays a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has fluctuated over time. You’ll find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,842,236, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,864,182. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the game’s point spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of opinions and potential insights. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, compared to traditional sportsbooks. However, differences can occur due to varying market efficiencies and participant motivations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, if more people believe SMU will win by more than the spread, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Missouri St. vs SMU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. The market will determine whether SMU wins by more or less than the specified spread, and payouts will be issued accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Key injury reports for star players on either Missouri St. or SMU would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected news regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all contribute to fluctuations. Any late-breaking information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to impact trading activity and price discovery.