TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first half of a college football game between Missouri State and SMU, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It focuses solely on which team leads at halftime, ignoring the final game result. The market accounts for potential game delays, ensuring resolution based on official scores if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time.
If SMU wins the 1st half of the Missouri St. vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri St. wins the 1st half of the Missouri St. vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Missouri St. vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or information asymmetry. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Missouri St. or SMU—has the higher score at the end of the first half of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the official confirmation of the first half score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Missouri St. or SMU would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Even weather conditions on game day could play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and influencing the perceived probabilities. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.