TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (W)
Volume:
$35,614
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils and Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable. Polymarket uses a proper binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is critically flawed and should not be traded. The platform has failed to create mutually exclusive resolution outcomes. Only Polymarket provides a valid, tradeable market for this event. Do not assume Kalshi will auto-correct; escalate to platform support.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner resolution: resolves to 'Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils' if they win, or 'Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions' if they win. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: 'If the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils win, the market will resolve to Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: both 'Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins' and 'Mississippi Valley St. wins' resolve to Yes, creating no distinction between outcomes. The market cannot resolve to No under any game result. Key Quote: 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi Valley St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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