TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama State Hornets
Volume:
$798,796
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils and Alabama State Hornets scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and over/under total points wagering.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mississippi Valley St. win OR Alabama St. win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The market specification is broken — both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes. Contact Kalshi support for clarification before trading. Polymarket markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to the name of the winning team (Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils or Alabama State Hornets). Spread markets resolve based on final margin thresholds (e.g., Alabama State -14.5 resolves to Alabama State if they win by 15+ points, otherwise Mississippi Valley State). Over/Under markets resolve based on combined team score (141+, 142+, or 143+ points = Over; below = Under). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Resolution includes overtime periods. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Market states both possible outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Mississippi Valley St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alabama St. wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Mississippi Valley St. wins the Mississippi Valley St. at Alabama St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama St. wins the Mississippi Valley St. at Alabama St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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