TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)
Volume:
$209,048
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: it specifies that both Mississippi State winning AND Arkansas winning both resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary market. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market logic is broken and cannot be reliably settled. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support immediately, as the market may be voided or corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Mississippi State win resolves to Mississippi State Bulldogs; Arkansas win resolves to Arkansas Razorbacks. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states both Mississippi St. winning and Arkansas winning resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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