TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether South Carolina, Mississippi State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets resolve based solely on the official game result, with no affiliation to the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring first. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system for forecasting the first team to score a touchdown in the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game, according to official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi State or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift probabilities. Finally, as kickoff approaches, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed opinions and trigger further price adjustments in this market.