TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between Mississippi State and South Carolina. It focuses solely on the performance during the fourth quarter, ignoring the overall game result or any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment of play.
If South Carolina wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point for comparison, and significant discrepancies between the two may present potential trading opportunities. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mississippi State or South Carolina would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected performance during earlier parts of the game could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader factors like weather conditions or even public perception shifts based on pre-game analysis could play a role. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.