TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Mississippi State and South Carolina. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might outperform the other in a single quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the designated Mississippi State vs South Carolina college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin for that market in the third quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, which vary only in the required point differential thresholds for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, but it's not uncommon to see discrepancies, especially early on. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, the 3rd quarter spread falling above or below a certain point. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting one outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective beliefs of all participants trading in the market, creating a real-time assessment of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the 3rd quarter of the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game will determine whether contracts predicting an over or under settle at $1.00 or $0.00. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or South Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks or shifts in public perception could impact the trading volume and price within this market.