TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Mississippi State and South Carolina. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on whether South Carolina, Mississippi State, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that initial period.
If South Carolina wins the 1st quarter of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. wins the 1st quarter of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or a desire to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. While there may be correlation, prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—either Mississippi State winning the first quarter or South Carolina winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time probability forecast. The closer we get to the event, the more the prices will likely converge towards the true probability of each team winning the first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first quarter of the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who hold contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. It is important to monitor the game's progress leading up to the end of the first quarter.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mississippi State or South Carolina would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news related to team morale, coaching changes, or unexpected lineup adjustments could shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants can also cause noticeable price movements in this market, reflecting new information or strategic positioning.