TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Mississippi State and South Carolina in the first quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that either team might achieve during that initial segment of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Mississippi St. vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the first quarter by the exact or greater point margin indicated in the market title. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that these odds represent different things – one is a forecast, and the other is a betting line.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome—in this case, Mississippi State covering the spread. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of Mississippi State performing as expected in the first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first quarter of the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' contracts—representing Mississippi State covering the spread—will pay out at 100, or whether they will expire at a lower value. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi State or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.