TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many touchdowns each team scores in a specific college football matchup. It focuses on thresholds for both teams to reach certain numbers of touchdowns during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the official game statistics.
The event evaluates whether Minnesota or Mississippi State reaches specified touchdown thresholds (3+, 4+, or 5+) in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular threshold for one team. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the team records at least the number of touchdowns specified in that market's title during the game, including any overtime periods. Touchdowns counted include those scored in regulation and overtime, but successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—do not count toward these thresholds. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game completion.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insight, and discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each possible outcome, driven by new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by both Mississippi State and Minnesota will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders will be able to see the final result and receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi State or Minnesota would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, independent of external factors.