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406,019
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Closed: Sep 12, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Minnesota and Mississippi State in making field goals during their college football matchup. The outcomes depend on whether each team successfully kicks a certain number of field goals during the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team in the Mississippi St. vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Any field goals made during overtime count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of made field goals required for resolution to 'Yes', with thresholds varying between 1+, 2+, and 3+ for each team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting volume, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available, and they can sometimes be more accurate predictors of event outcomes than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total field goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored by both Mississippi State and Minnesota in the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total field goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi State or Minnesota would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s scoring potential. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game draws closer, any public analysis or expert predictions regarding the expected number of field goals could drive trading activity and price fluctuations.