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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,019
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 12, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend on whether specified point thresholds are exceeded by either team during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Mississippi State and Minnesota in their game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., Minnesota over 13.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the game's potential scoring. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Mississippi State vs Minnesota game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores reported by the governing body of the game. The market will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges represented by those contracts. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout as determined by the market price at the time of purchase.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mississippi State or Minnesota would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information. Even public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in the market.