TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Mississippi State will win their college football game against Minnesota by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Mississippi State winning by over 1.5 points is 99.0% on Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Mississippi St. vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, specifically if Minnesota wins by more than 16.5 points. Traders should watch the game itself on September 12, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome and resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Mississippi St. vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If Minnesota wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as No. For markets where Mississippi State is the titled winner, the opposite logic applies—if Mississippi State wins by exactly the stated margin, the market resolves as No. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time are resolved using the eventual official result. If the game does not begin within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the spread based on statistical models and team news, this market continuously adjusts based on real-money trading. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful developments than traditional odds, though this isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Minnesota will win by more than the spread. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a Minnesota win, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating to reflect the latest information and trader sentiment. The current price represents the market’s aggregate forecast for the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, once the final score of the Mississippi State versus Minnesota football game is officially reported. The outcome will be determined by the actual point differential between the two teams at the end of regulation play. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It's important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand when this market will be considered resolved.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game day. Any significant news regarding player injuries on either team would likely cause movement, especially if it involves key players. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price changes, as traders react to and anticipate further movements in the market.