TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Minnesota. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Minnesota, Mississippi State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets resolve based on the official game result, with Kalshi emphasizing it has no official connection to the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when there's significant public interest.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Mississippi State vs Minnesota game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' perceptions and lead to price adjustments. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could also play a role.