TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. They focus solely on the point differential within the first 15 minutes of play, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first quarter of the Mississippi St. vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market within this timeframe. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market allows a larger number of individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, assuming both are efficiently priced. However, it's important to note that prediction markets may sometimes incorporate information not fully reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Mississippi State vs Minnesota spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Mississippi State versus Minnesota football game. The official result, as determined by sports data providers, will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and their resulting profits or losses on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or Minnesota teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, might also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements in this market.