TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.6b
24H VOL:
$161,047,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,744,915,607
504,917
Markets across
37,612
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,946
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether LSU will win their college football game against Mississippi State by more than 7.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to LSU winning by over 2.5 points. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the Mississippi St. vs LSU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Traders should closely watch the outcome of the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will determine market resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Mississippi St. vs LSU college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If LSU wins by exceeding the specified point margin, markets labeled 'LSU wins by over X points' resolve to Yes; if Mississippi St. wins by exceeding their respective margins, those markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting equitable assessment of available information and circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result of the game. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price shows what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if their predicted spread holds true.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Mississippi State vs LSU game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or LSU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could lead to changes in the market’s price. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are also potential catalysts.