TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
A competitive esports match in the United21 2026 tournament features two teams competing in a best-of-series format. The outcome will depend on the total number of maps played during the match, which is determined by the competitive performance of both teams throughout the series.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the United21 2026: Misa Esports vs. Entropy CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing Kalshi's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely map total, or whether one side sees value the other has missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last buyer and seller to agree—and shifts as new information emerges or sentiment changes. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest traders see less probability of it occurring.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Misa Esports vs. Entropy match concludes and the final map count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of maps played in the series, regardless of which team wins each individual map. Resolution happens automatically once the result is confirmed and posted by the event organizer or official esports reporting.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced before the match, recent form and win-loss records of both teams, and any public statements about playstyle or map preferences. Tournament format details—such as best-of-three versus best-of-five structure—directly influence the expected map total and can shift odds significantly. Injury reports, team chemistry updates, or coaching changes may also trigger repricing as traders reassess the likely series length.