TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Brasileiro Serie A fixture featuring Mirassol against Vitoria, this event determines if each team finds the back of the net at least once throughout the match's regular duration. The focus is solely on goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If Mirassol and Vitoria both score a goal in the Mirassol vs Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the predictions of individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of both Mirassol and Vitoria scoring in this match, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates greater confidence in a 'Yes' outcome, while a lower price suggests a stronger belief in a 'No' outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Mirassol and Vitoria score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the match result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol or Vitoria would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's attacking or defensive weaknesses could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the likelihood of both teams scoring is crucial for informed trading in this market.