TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
The spreads focus on the margin of victory in the Mirassol vs Palmeiras match. Different thresholds define how many more goals the winning team must score to meet each market's requirement.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Mirassol vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Markets resolve to Yes if Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders rather than averaged public bets. While sportsbooks may set a fixed spread, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust pricing based on new data, injuries, or form, potentially offering sharper or more volatile estimates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through their bids and offers, which reflects their expectations for the spread result. The current implied probability is derived from the market price, showing the chance of each possible outcome based on recent trading activity. This dynamic pricing adjusts continuously as new information emerges, such as player injuries, tactical changes, or momentum shifts during the match.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score and any post-game adjustments, if applicable. Once the final spread is officially recorded, the market settles automatically based on that verified figure.
In-game events such as goals, red cards, or coaching decisions can strongly influence this market, shifting expectations for the final margin. Pre-match news like lineup announcements, injury updates, or weather conditions may also cause price swings. Additionally, broader betting trends and trader sentiment reacting to real-time score updates can drive volatility, especially during crucial moments of the match.