TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Mirassol vs Flamengo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Volume:
$66,670

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 7:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,505
N/A
N/A
$32,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,239
N/A
N/A
$7,682
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,762
N/A
N/A
$2,716
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,325
N/A
N/A
$3,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
$446
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of two Brazilian soccer teams in a league match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over the opponent. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different margins of victory in a professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Mirassol and Flamengo scheduled for August 16, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Mirassol winning by more than 2.5 goals, Mirassol winning by more than 1.5 goals, Flamengo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Flamengo winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate condition under which the respective market would resolve positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Mirassol vs Flamengo spread market. It displays updated probabilities, historical price charts, and current trading volume of $66,670, along with 24-hour volume of $63,507. This single-venue view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the match, offering insights into market sentiment without any cross-platform comparisons.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and liquidity levels of $66,670. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile prices. Observers can watch for divergence between the two as a signal of shifting sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match score and any applicable tie-breaking rules, ensuring an objective resolution aligned with real-world results.

Several signals could impact this market before Aug 17, 2026. Key team news — such as injuries, suspensions, or coaching decisions — may shift expectations. Market-moving events also include early match momentum, referee decisions, or weather conditions affecting play. Any unexpected developments that change the perceived likelihood of the spread outcome will be reflected in real-time trading activity on Kalshi as participants react to new information.