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Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Mirassol FC vs SE Palmeiras?

Volume:
$2,410,235

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 8:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$346,311
N/A
N/A
$165,644
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$95,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025,713
N/A
N/A
$585,499
Settled
No
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$351,646
N/A
N/A
$144,085
Settled
No
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A soccer match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The match result will be determined by the end of the event window on August 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on resolving based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using the same primary resolution source and handling edge cases like cancellations uniformly.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Use credible reporting if official results are not published within 2 hours
  • Cancellations without a make-up game resolve as specified per market (No for win markets, Yes for draw market)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Win markets resolve to No, draw market resolves to Yes
Timing: Within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official sources or credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, August 30, 2026 between Mirassol FC and SE Palmeiras.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mirassol vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Mirassol win, Palmeiras win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The governing league’s official result will be the definitive reference for resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants vote with their trades, which can create prices that reflect real-time sentiment and insider expectations. For example, if traders believe an upset is likely, market odds may shift sharply away from sportsbook favorites. Additionally, prediction markets sometimes incorporate broader context — like recent team form or injuries — faster than sportsbooks update their lines, leading to divergent pricing on this market.