TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC
polymarket
kalshi

Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC

Volume:
$479,764

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 11, 2026

Closed: Mar 10, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,405
N/A
N/A
$5,235
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,729
N/A
N/A
$15,441
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,761
N/A
N/A
$35,908
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Mirassol FC and Santos FC scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Mirassol win, Santos win, or draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible market structures and diverge on cancellation resolution. Polymarket's Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while Win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance and uses independent binary outcomes rather than mutually exclusive logic.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Polymarket's three markets are designed as mutually exclusive outcomes with explicit cancellation rules. Kalshi's three markets appear to be independent binary propositions with no stated cancellation protocol. Before the match, verify Kalshi's cancellation policy directly with the platform. If you hold positions on both platforms, monitor for divergence in cancellation scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Mirassol Win, Draw, Santos Win). Cancellation with no makeup game: Mirassol Win resolves No, Draw resolves Yes, Santos Win resolves No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (Mirassol/Santos) and 'Yes' (Draw).
  • Kalshi: Offers three independent binary markets (Mirassol Wins, Santos Wins, Tie Wins), each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Mirassol vs Santos professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Ambiguous on what happens if game is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.