TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group focuses on determining the outcome of the second half of the Copa Libertadores match between Mirassol FC and LDU de Quito, specifically whether Mirassol FC wins the second half, the second half ends in a draw, or LDU de Quito wins the second half.
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Mirassol FC and LDU de Quito, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than LDU de Quito in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mirassol FC and LDU de Quito score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LDU de Quito" if LDU de Quito score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If LDU Quito and Delfin both score a goal in the LDU Quito vs Delfin Ecuador LigaPro match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, which can create prices that reflect sharper or more niche insights. The gap between the two can also widen when event-specific news — like player injuries or weather updates — hits, moving trader sentiment faster than sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because user bases, liquidity, and trading behaviors vary across venues. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more international traders who weigh different factors, while another could see heavier betting from local fans. These distinct participant pools generate their own price signals, so Polymarket and Kalshi often show different probabilities for the same event, especially when volume is still building.
Injuries, tactical changes, or weather conditions during the match could shift this market sharply as they happen. Pre-game news — such as lineup announcements or recent team performance — may also sway trader sentiment. Any development that impacts the perceived balance of power in the second half can cause rapid price adjustments, especially on platforms with lighter liquidity, making this market responsive to real-time match dynamics.