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Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito - First Team to Score

Volume:
$737,365

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 7:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$232,826
N/A
N/A
$119,454
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240,846
N/A
N/A
$114,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263,169
N/A
N/A
$141,154
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

LDU de Quito

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will score the first goal in the upcoming soccer match between Mirassol FC and LDU de Quito within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability shows Mirassol FC to score first at 100.0%, with neither team scoring first at 0.1%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the event organizers. Watch for the match on August 13, 2026, which will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree that the market resolves based on which team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to Neither.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours after the event's conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to Mirassol FC if they are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • The market resolves to LDU de Quito if they are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • The market resolves to Neither if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither
Timing: The market resolves after the conclusion of the match, based on official statistics or credible reporting if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hoursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and LDU de Quito, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LDU de Quito" if LDU de Quito are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Mirassol vs Gremio professional Copa do Brasil soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Mirassol win, Gremio win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It shows how traders on each venue price the likelihood of which team will score first in the match, reflecting collective sentiment and betting activity. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades occur, allowing users to see consensus views and compare expectations. With a combined volume of $737,365, this market offers insight into where the smart money is placed for who strikes first.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trading and the ability for continuous price adjustments. While sportsbooks may set a static line based on historical performance and analytics, prediction markets reflect real-time trader sentiment and can shift rapidly with new information. This creates opportunities for arbitrage or insights where the trading community differs from institutional sportsbook assessments. The dynamic nature of Polymarket and Kalshi allows for more granular pricing than fixed sportsbook odds.