TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 9:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa do Brasil game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa do Brasil game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders bidding and offering in real time based on their genuine belief in outcomes. Prediction markets typically incorporate information more efficiently because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd sees value that traditional oddsmakers have missed or overlooked.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market remains liquid and responsive to new information, allowing you to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the Mirassol vs. Grêmio match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period. Your position will settle based on the final confirmed result, with winning traders receiving their payout automatically. Until that time, you can trade your shares freely to lock in gains, cut losses, or adjust your exposure as new information emerges.
Several factors may shift odds before and during the match. Team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments can trigger repricing as traders reassess each side's second-half prospects. First-half performance is a major catalyst—if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders will adjust their confidence in that team's ability to maintain or extend their advantage. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates can also influence sentiment. Real-time momentum during the match itself will drive the most dramatic moves as traders react to goals, near-misses, and tactical shifts.