TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 9:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. In this market, traders continuously adjust prices based on team news, injury reports, and public sentiment, whereas sportsbooks may move more slowly or maintain wider spreads. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than established betting venues. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief about which team will score first. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, maintaining a dynamic equilibrium. This mechanism ensures continuous pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Once the event is complete and the outcome is clear, this market will settle automatically based on the verified information. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive their winnings proportional to their position size.
Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players can shift odds significantly, as can lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the venue may also influence trader positioning. Pre-match commentary from analysts and unexpected roster changes can trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market in the final hours before the match, reflecting late-breaking information or coordinated positioning. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media for catalysts.