TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management and profit margins, while this market is priced by traders who buy and sell shares based on their own assessments of probability. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's belief on Polymarket differs from conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger trader confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new developments leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is confirmed by verifying which team scored first against credible public sources, including official match reports and sports data providers. Once the result is verified, the market settles automatically, and traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings based on the price at which they held their position.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 17, 2026. Team news such as injuries to key attacking players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can significantly alter expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, betting syndicate activity, and late-breaking roster updates can trigger sharp price movements. As kickoff nears, traders often adjust positions based on final team confirmations and any last-minute developments that affect either team's attacking capability.