TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and guarantee profit, incorporating built-in margins. Prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus, where participants stake real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market reflects what informed traders genuinely expect, unfiltered by a bookmaker's profit motive. However, sportsbooks may react faster to breaking news or injuries, while prediction markets can lag slightly. Comparing both sources gives you a fuller picture of true probability versus commercial pricing.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share reflects its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders back a particular scoreline, its price rises; conversely, reduced demand lowers it. The market uses an automated market maker to ensure liquidity and continuous pricing. Each exact-score outcome competes independently, so you can see at a glance which results command the highest trader conviction. Prices update in real time as new trades execute, making this an efficient mechanism for aggregating distributed knowledge about the match outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, after the Mirassol versus Grêmio match concludes. The outcome is determined by the final score verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Once the result is confirmed and the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and winning positions are paid out. Traders should monitor official team announcements and reputable sports reporting to track any postponements or scheduling changes that might affect the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader expectations as match day nears. Weather conditions or venue factors may also influence how traders price different scorelines. Social media sentiment and expert punditry can sway the crowd, especially if respected analysts highlight an underrated outcome. Finally, any official postponements or fixture rescheduling would trigger immediate repricing across all exact-score outcomes in this market.