TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Mirassol FC and EC Vitória. The markets specify outcomes for various scorelines, with an 'Any Other Score' option to cover results not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and EC Vitória, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored during the Mirassol versus Vitoria Brazilian Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same underlying condition—the actual goal count determines outcomes across thresholds—meaning higher thresholds are inherently more demanding. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, with all branding and trademarks belonging to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and available trading features on each platform can influence how traders behave. For example, differing fee structures or liquidity provisions could create price discrepancies. These factors contribute to the unique price signals observed across these prediction markets.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the odds. Furthermore, in-game events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would immediately shift the probabilities reflected in the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis regarding the teams' form and tactical approaches could also contribute to price movements leading up to and during the game.