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2,689

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5

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Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória?

Volume:
$755,638

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 5:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174,804
N/A
N/A
$73,408
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vitoria

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,999
N/A
N/A
$106,772
Settled
No
polymarket

EC Vitória

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107,409
N/A
N/A
$60,436
Settled
No
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the probability of a draw in the Mirassol FC versus EC Vitória Brasileiro Serie A soccer game. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The market will resolve based on the official result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the game’s outcome on September 13, 2026. Keep an eye on the official kickoff of the Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória match on September 13, 2026, as this will initiate the resolution window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution criteria for canceled games. Polymarket defines a resolution, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of a game cancellation and the differing outcomes it would trigger on each platform. Polymarket offers a defined resolution, while Kalshi's market may remain open.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. The market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: If Mirassol wins the Mirassol vs Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. No mention of cancellation resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Mirassol FC and EC Vitória.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mirassol vs Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Mirassol wins, the 'Mirassol' market resolves to Yes. If Vitoria wins, the 'Vitoria' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by supply and demand. This means the odds in this market reflect what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome, potentially offering more accurate insights. However, sportsbooks have limitations on volume, whereas prediction markets can handle larger wagers. The difference can also stem from differing information available to each group and the speed at which new information is incorporated into the odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Mirassol vs. Vitória match can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might have more traders specializing in soccer, leading to a different assessment of the teams’ probabilities than on Kalshi. Market design choices, such as trading limits or fee structures, can also contribute to price discrepancies. These differences highlight the benefits of aggregating information across multiple platforms to gain a more robust view.