TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:44 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-06-25 13:15 UTC: if Miomir Kecmanovic wins the match, this market resolves to "Miomir Kecmanovic"; if Fabian Marozsan wins, it resolves to "Fabian Marozsan". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-06-25 13:15 UTC: if Miomir Kecmanovic wins the match, this market resolves to "Miomir Kecmanovic"; if Fabian Marozsan wins, it resolves to "Fabian Marozsan". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through real-money stakes. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives a higher or lower chance of a particular outcome. Traders often monitor both to identify pricing inefficiencies and inform their positions.
On Opinion, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell shares tied to each possible outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective confidence in that outcome, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction. As traders enter or exit positions, the price adjusts in real time. You can view the current price, historical trends, and volume to gauge market depth and conviction strength among participants.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by the actual result of the match between the two players. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and match conditions emerge. Resolution occurs automatically once the event concludes and the result is finalized.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Recent form, head-to-head records, and player rankings often influence trader positioning. Injury reports, surface preferences, and tournament conditions closer to the match date can trigger sharp repricing. Weather forecasts, draw announcements, or changes in player fitness may also prompt trading activity. Major upsets in related tournaments or shifts in player momentum can reshape expectations. Traders monitor these signals continuously, so any credible news tends to move prices quickly.