TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which tennis player, Miomir Kecmanovic or Denis Shapovalov, will win the third set of their match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. The outcome depends solely on the result of that specific set, regardless of the overall match result. Settlement is contingent on the match actually taking place, with provisions for fair pricing if the match is canceled or interrupted.
If Miomir Kecmanovic wins set 3 in the Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denis Shapovalov wins set 3 in the Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and set fixed lines, this market offers a more fluid representation of where informed traders see the probability of each outcome. The resulting price may appear more volatile or different from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or trading volume changes.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the third set will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly — reflecting the actual performance of the competitors in that specific frame.
Key signals that could shift this market include player form leading up to Aug 30, 2026, such as recent match performances, injury updates, or changes in tournament seeding. Weather conditions or surface changes for the match venue may also impact player strategies and outcomes. Media commentary, expert analysis, and betting trends can influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute withdrawals or substitutions would dramatically reshape market expectations. As Aug 30, 2026 approaches, real-time in-play dynamics during the match itself will drive rapid shifts in pricing based on points won, service breaks, and overall match momentum.