TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player will claim the first set in an upcoming tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Denis Shapovalov at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the result of Set 1, regardless of how the overall match proceeds. It reflects the competitive dynamics and performance of both players in the early stages of their encounter.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the specified professional tennis match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any ball is played, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays allow the market to remain open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks after the match finishes. In cases of retirement during the match, any markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set will be the official result, determined by the match’s official score as reported by authoritative sports news outlets and tournament organizers. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the verified match result.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, changes to the match schedule due to weather, and recent performance trends from warm-up matches or practice sessions. Any public statements from coaches or the players themselves regarding confidence or strategy might also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, real-time updates from the venue—such as early game scores—can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.