TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Minnesota will win against Washington by more than 2.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, the probability of Minnesota winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of September 26, 2026, based on the final result.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Washington is the favored team, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Washington wins by more than the specified point differential. Conversely, markets favoring Minnesota resolve to 'Yes' if Minnesota wins by more than the designated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market. It’s common to see prediction market prices move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbook odds, though both aim to predict the same ultimate outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread of the Minnesota versus Washington game, as determined by official game statistics. The market will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins, and payouts will be made accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market opinion.